The AIEE – Italian Association of Energy Economists (Italian affiliate of the IAEE – The International Association for Energy Economics) is organizing this international conference in cooperation with the Bocconi
University – GREEN (Centre for Geography, Resources, Environment, Energy and Networks), of Milan to bring together energy experts engaged in academic, business, government, international organizations for an
exchange of ideas and experiences on the present and future landscape of energy security.
The first two editions of the AIEE Symposium on Energy Security – Milan 2016 and Rome 2017, were an opportunity to explore new energy trends, challenges and creative solutions for the energy security, the availability
of new technologies, the emergence of new market conditions and of newmarket operators.
Following up on the success of the past editions we are delighted to announce this third AIEE Energy Symposium to provide a fresh look on the major forthcoming issues offering an excellent occasion to continue the
dialogue and to share best practice and experience with delegates from all over the world.
The energy situation is evolving in Europe as well as in the rest of the world, where new actors, the emerging economies, are taking the leading role. Political developments in several areas of the globe (North Africa
and Middle East, the Caspian region, ASEAN countries) are reshaping the geopolitical situation, generating some worries about the security of supply in the EU countries.
The concept of energy security is undergoing a rapid transformation.
In the past, geopolitics and the supply of oil and gas were the dominant factors determining energy security. Today, a broader and more complex spectrum of elements are interacting to both stabilize and
threaten energy security. The availability of energy sources, when we consider both fossil fuels and renewables, is increasing. In particular,  a major source of change is the strong growth in the production and
integration of renewable and distributed energy, which offers opportunities to diversify the energy mix and thus improve energy security by reducing physical reliance and price exposure to only a few sources
and countries. At the same time, this paradigm of a new energy system has strong implications both on petroleum-producing countries and companies, with knock-on effects on geo-economic balance of
powers and energy markets and on the security and reliability of the transmission and distribution networks.
The new challenges of the digital revolution that on one hand offers opportunities to improve efficiency, to have lower costs but on the other hand raises a whole new set of challenges and creates vulnerabilities
we have never seen before so that energy is being viewed as a key part of national security.
While in the past the supply side was the dominant factor in energy security, with the critical element being the possibility of sourcing the products to produce electricity and provide mobility, now the energy
security balance is changing.

Wednesday – December 12 2018

08.30-17.00
Registration

08.30-09.30
Welcome coffee

09.00-10.30
Concurrent Sessions (13-16)

13
The link between the growth of energy consumption, population and income levels (Room N02)
Chair: Reinhard Haas, Vienna University of Technology, Austria

Energy demand and economic growth: panel data evidence from developing countries (ASEAN 4)
Presenter: Abd Aziz Azlina, University Malaysia Terengganu, Malaysia
Authors: Abd Aziz Azlina, Mahirah Kamaludin, Azilah Hasnisah

Can oil based power companies improve the household welfare in Bangladesh economy? a DSGE analysis
Presenter: Sakib Amin, Durham University Business School,UK
Authors: Sakib Amin, Laura Marsiliani, Thomas Renstrom

The study of the impact of economic and population growth on energy consumption: a statistical approach
Presenter: Mohammed AL-Otaibi, National Industrialization Company (Tasnee), Saudi Arabia
Authors: Hamad M. Mudij, Mohammed AL-Otaibi

14
The energy policies post Paris Agreement and the energy roadmap to 2050 (Room N03)
Chair: Agime Gerbeti, LUMSA University, Italy

Physical adequacy in power generation: Spain beyond 2020
Presenter: José Manuel Chamorro, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, Spain
Authors: Luis María Abadie, José Manuel Chamorro

Vision 2050 – A pathway for the evolution of the refining industry and liquid fuels
Presenter: Franco Del Manso, Unione Petrolifera, Italy
Author: Franco Del Manso

Consideration about Hydrogen and Fuel Cells in the Paris Agreement 1.5°C Perspective
Presenter: Mario Valentino Romeri, Energy consultant
Author: Mario Valentino Romeri

Switch and defer options in renewable energy projects: evidences from Brazil
Presenter: André Luis da Silva Leite, Federal University of Santa Catarina – UFSC, Brasil
Authors: André Luis da Silva Leite, Luis Eduardo Nunes, Marcus Vinicius Lima

15
Integrating renewables in energy markets (Room N04)
Chair: Carlo Andrea Bollino, AIEE, Italy

How futures materialize: a case future frame of renewable energy the in Denmark
Presenter: Sietske Veenman, Radboud University, The Netherlands
Authors: Sietske Veenman, Karl Sperling

Assessing the relevance of renewable generation localization through a spot market algorithm simulator: the case of Italy
Presenter: Silvia Concettini, Université de Tours – IRJI François Rabelais, France
Authors: Silvia Concettini, Stanislao Gualdi, Anna Cret

Corporate renewable energy procurement through PPAs in the United States
Presenter: Monika Dimitrova, Bocconi University, Italy
Authors: Matteo di Castelnuovo, Monika Dimitrova

The hydrogen production from RES impact on energy and fuel markets
Presenter: Gaetano Squadrito, Institute for Advanced Energy Technologies “Nicola Giordano” CNR-ITAE,Italy
Authors: Agatino Nicita, Gaetano Maggio, Antonio P.F. Andaloro, Gaetano Squadrito

16
Strategic contribution of energy storage to energy security (Room N05)
Chair: Silvana Mima, CNRS-GAEL, France

Valuing the impact on network reliability of residential battery storage
Presenter: Damian Shaw-Williams, Queensland University of Technology, Australia Author: Damian Shaw-Williams

Dispatch Auction Designs and Arbitrage Strategies for Energy Storage Units
Presenter: Olvar Bergland, School of Economics and Business Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Norway
Author: Olvar Bergland

BESS for Primary Frequency Regulation in Support of Thermal Power Plants
Presenter: Silvia Canevese, Ricerca sul Sistema Energetico – RSE, Italy
Authors: Silvia Canevese, Antonio Gatti

Rising flexibility needs in the power sector and the growing role of energy storage in the
World Energy Outlook
Presenter: Claudia Pavarini, International Energy Agency – IEA
Author: Claudia Pavarini

10.30-11.30
Dual Plenary Sessions

Grid security and new technologies (Room N03)
Chair: Carlo Andrea Bollino, Honorary President AIEE, Italy

Luca Bragoli, Head of International and Institutional Affairs ERG, Italy
Matteo Codazzi, Chief Executive Officer CESI, Italy
Salvatore Pinto, President Axpo, Italy
Agostino Re Rebaudengo, Vice President, Elettricità Futura, Italy

Europe Roadmap and the future strategies of the energy industry (Room N02)
Chair: Vittorio D’Ermo,Vice President AIEE, Italy

Felice Egidi, Federmanager – Confederation of Italian managers, Italy
Massimo Bruno, Head of Institutional Affairs Italy ENEL, Italy
Dario Di Santo, Head Manager, Italian Federation for energy efficiency – FIRE
Nicola Pedde, Director of the Institute for Global Studies, Editor of Geopolitics of the Middle East, Italy

11.30-13.00
Concurrent Sessions (17-20)

17
Energy supply and security (Room N02)
Chair: Vittorio D’Ermo, AIEE, Italy

The geopolitical impact of Nord Stream 2
Presenter: Balázs R. Sziklai, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Hungary
Authors: Balázs R. Sziklai, László Á. Kóczy, Dávid Csercsik

A risk-based evaluation of European natural gas supply security – The case of Nordstream 2
Presenter: László Á. Kóczy, Budapest University of Technology and Economics/Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Hungary
Authors: László Á. Kóczy, Dávid Csercsik, Balázs R. Sziklai

How the increase of renewable energy sources will change our energy security landscape – a look on the Baltic Sea Region states
Presenter: Julia Vainio, Subject Matter Expert, NATO ENSEC COE, Lithuania
Author: Julia Vainio

18
Technology development – Grid management (Room N03)
Chair: Iain Staffell, lmperial College London, UK

Distributed technologies in the energy markets: Welfare effects in legacy networks
Presenter: Anna Rita Bennato, Loughborough University, UK
Authors: Andrew Burlinson, Anna Rita Bennato, Monica Giulietti

Optimality study of uplifts with a primal-dual solution approach for the Convex Hull Pricing problem
Presenter: Alvarez Cristian, Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María, Cile
Authors: Alvarez Cristian, Alejandro Angulo, Pablo Escalona

Revealing Consumption Patterns from Meter Readings: a structural deep machine learning approach
Presenter: Olvar Bergland, School of Economic Sciences – Washington State University Authors: Olvar Bergland, Alan Love

Elecxit: The Impact of Barriers to Electricity Trade After Brexit
Presenter: Iain Staffell, lmperial College London, UK
Authors: Joachim Geske, Richard Green, Iain Staffell

19
The transition to renewable & smart energies and the decarbonization project (Room N04)
Chair: Francesco Gullì, Bocconi University, Italy

Smart energy transition – technology convergence of renewable energy and ICT sectors
Presenter: Hanna-Liisa Kangas, Finnish Environment Institute SYKE, Finland
Authors: Hanna-Liisa Kangas, Kimmo Ollikka, Kim Yukyeong

A proposal for assessing wind power systems in Europe
Presenter: Carla Henriques, Polytechnic Institute of Coimbra – Coimbra Business School – ISCAC, Portugal Authors: Carla Henriques, Patrícia Pereira da Silva, Nuno Figueiredo

20
From Consumers to nonsumers: How new behind-the-meter service options are disrupting utility business models (Room N05)
Chair: Nicola Sorrentino, University of Calabria, Italy

Power Cloud: a framework to implement a “nonsumer” community
Presenter: Nicola Sorrentino, University of Calabria, Italy
Authors: Nicola Sorrentino, Daniele Menniti, Anna Pinnarelli

Day-ahead demand management at microgrid level using Artificial Neural Network predictions and Genetic Algorithm optimisation
Presenter: Nikolas Kampelis, Technical University of Crete, Grece
Authors: Nikolas Kampelis, E. Tsekeri, D. Kolokotsa, K. Kalaitzakis, D. Isidori, C.Cristalli

Customer stratification and different concepts of decentralization
Presenter: Dierk Bauknecht, Öko-Institute, Germany
Authors: Dierk Bauknecht, Joß Bracker, Franziska Flachsbarth, Christoph Heinemann, Dominik Seebach, Moritz Vogel

Limits of traditional distribution network tariff designs and options to move beyond
Presenter: Tim Schittekatte, Florence School of Regulation
Authors: Tim Schittekatte, Leonardo Meeus

13.00-14.00
Lunch buffet (Oval Hall)

14.00-15.30
Concurrent Sessions (21-24)

21
Current Oil Market Dynamics (Room N02)
Chair: Elisa Scarpa, Head of Market Analysis, Structuring & Pricing Edison, Italy

Determinants of Volatility Smile: the Case of Crude Oil Options
Presenter: Vesa Soini, University of Stavanger, Norway
Authors: Vesa Soini, Sindre Lorentzen

A comparison of various oil price forecasting methods with a large number of variables
Presenter: Krzysztof Drachal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw
Author: Krzysztof Drachal

Time and frequency dynamics of connectedness between renewable energy stocks
and crude oil prices
Presenter: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad,Montpellier Business School, France
Authors: Román Ferrer, Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad; Raquel López; Francisco Jareñ

22
Technology development (Room N03)
Chair: Carlo Di Primio, AIEE, Italy

Value of electricity supply security: a case study for Germany
Presenter: Thomas Schröder, Institute of Energy and Climate Research – Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (IEK-STE), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Germany
Author: Thomas Schröder

Smart meters in Sweden- lessons learned and new regulations
Presenter: Yalin Huang, Energy Market Inspectorate, Sweden
Authors: Yalin Huang, Elin Grahn

Potentials and limitations of photovoltaic-based cellular energy systems in southern Germany
Presenter: Matthias Kühnbach, Fraunhofer ISI, Germany
Authors: Matthias Kühnbach, Stefan Pisula, Anke Eßer

Determined a Reference Price by CO2 Abatement Cost for Window Films
Presenter: Sheng-Dih Hwang, Institute of Nuclear Energy Research, Atomic Energy Council, ROC, Taiwan Authors: Sheng-Dih Hwang, Yu-Ching Huang

23
Perspectives of transport sector (Room N04)
Chair: Oliviero Baccelli, GREEN Bocconi University

Impact of Euro 6 diesel passenger cars on urban air quality compliance in Italy
Presenter: Franco Del Manso, Unione Petrolifera, Italy
Authors: Franco Del Manso

The future of technologies for mobility, a model based approach
Presenter: Gabin Mantulet, LPSC – CNRS, Laboratoire de Physique Subatomique & Cosmologie, France
Authors: Gabin Mantulet, Silvana Mima, Adrien Bidaud

Current development and future potential of carsharing in Spain: insights from experts and users in-depth interviews
Presenter: Alessandro Silvestri, Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), Spain
Authors: Alessandro Silvestri, Sebastien Foudi, Ibon Galarraga

Prospects for the development of Polish electromobility
Presenters: Wojciech Drożdż, Szczecin University/ENEA Operator and Jakub Dowejko, ENEA Operator, Poland
Author: Wojciech Drożdż

24
European energy security strategies (Room N05)
Chair: Julia Vainio, Subject Matter Expert, NATO ENSEC COE, Lithuania

Regulation and efficiency: which governance model for energy security after the Winter Package?
Presenter: Marina Petri, Bocconi University, Italy
Author: Marina Petri

Ready for the next step? The human capital of German renewable energy cooperatives’ management with a view to implementing new business models
Presenter: Benedikt Rilling, Nuertingen-Geislingen University, ISR, Germany
Authors: Carsten Herbes, Benedikt Rilling, Lars Holstenkamp

Anticipatory Strategies for Eastern European Natural Gas Security
Presenter: Ryan Brown, UN Economic Commission for Europe, Sustainable Energy Division, USA
Authors: Ryan Brown

Belt & Road initiative: Challenge or chance for the European energy security?
Presenter: Maria Belka, Forschungszentrum Jülich, Germany
Author: Maria Belka